Wednesday, May 07, 2014

The systematic crapulousness of the official AGW Climate models prove that the science isn't settled.


The Federalist calls the tape:  
The Obama Administration released a new report on global cooling - no, global warming - no, climate change this week, and its findings and recommendations are about what you’d expect: conservatives are stupidheads who hate Science™, so give us eleventy trillion dollars.
The problem, no, one of the many problems is that the predictive models that the above report are based upon are all predicting vastly more warming than we are experiencing.  Let me repeat that: all the models (and there are a bunch of them - see below) are systematically overpredicting the amount of global warming.  So much so that they have run out of the two sigma confidence band - they are definitely, statistically wrong.  And all the same way.  Why is that a big deal?  Well if the 'science was settled' but there were a few bugs and hiccoughs to work out you would expect some of the models to be wrong.  Some too high, some to low, a few lucky ones would be just right.  But if the science were truly settled you'd see the model predictions clustering around the actual.  But what we see is everything is missing high.  Way high which demostrates that the science isn't settled, hell it's not even explored yet.
Climate Model Comparison
Good try Gomers but if you can't do the science, don't send us the bills.








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