Sunday, July 14, 2019

The savior of the world.

In an uncharacteristic lapse in judgement, a friend asked me to give the invocation (church talk for kickoff or warm up prayer) at church. This is what I said:

Dear lord thank you for this day.
Thank you for the sunshine
and the truth of your gospel.

Lord Jesus give us eyes to see,
ears to hear,
and the faith to know that you are the savior of the world.

Thursday, July 11, 2019

Is there an America if citizenship doesn't matter?

If citizenship means so little that the government doesn't even want to count how many of us there are - because they simply don't care - then is it really our government?

Or is the US government just another stationary bandit like Dubai? Delivering services in exchange for tribute? And if so, why should anyone pay income taxes...i.e. share the wealth with anyone else?

If the borders are open and the government is just a technocracy validated by people who show up at polls without ID or better yet fill out and mail in a form, then why share wealth with this ever shifting global craps game called America?

Governance becomes completely transactional....fee for service and if service gets bad.....

Nobody in their right mind would DIE for Dubai. Maybe since citizenship would be meaningless under CA style rule (aka the most likely Democrat rule) nobody should die for America.

Of course if citizenship increasingly means nothing then there really isn't an America is there?

In that world the universal longing for belonging would be filled by places like.....Texas or Minnesota who would strive mightily to sustain and bolster the critical sense of belonging that is required for people to be willing to sacrifice their wealth and lives.

Maybe that sense of belonging, that sense of responsibility and commitment is why the social breakdown we see in CA isn't spreading to TX or MN. Maybe we poo differently because our loyalties are different, more real.

The canary in the already collapsed California coal mine would be a second Texas Revolution: Flight from Sobbing Woke Pointlessness to True Meaning.

Because the true meaning of life is what we do, who we love and sacrifice for. Not how big a victim we are

Monday, June 24, 2019

Another example of climate change incoherence

Time Magazine recently put the current UN Secretary General on its cover promoting climate panic on the island nation of Tuvalu. So it MUST be true that these coral atoll nations are doomed. After  all why would such an august figure as the Lord High Secretary General "dip trou" if it were not?

But I also know that these coral atolls are made of, you know, coral and that coral are living things and they grow. So in theory as the water level rises, the coral grows and the islands remain above sea level. I also know that a recent survey of Tuvalu published in Nature Communications* has found that their islands are in fact growing, not shrinking. So what gives? Is the sea level rising faster than the coral can grow? Could it? Had it done so in the past when we had far more ice to melt and temperatures rose much faster coming out of the last glaciation event?

So I went to our best, official source of historical and prehistorical sea level data at NASA GISS and found the page on past sea level trends. And this is what its first, summary paragraph said:

Climate warming is expected to result in rising sea level. Should this occur, coastal cities, ports, and wetlands would be threatened with more frequent flooding, increased beach erosion, and saltwater encroachment into coastal streams and aquifers. Global sea level has fluctuated widely in the recent geologic past. It stood 4-6 meters above the present during the last interglacial period, 125,000 years ago, but was 120 m lower at the peak of the last ice age, around 20,000 years ago. A study of past sea level fluctuations provides a longer-term geologic context, which can help us better anticipate future trends.

So first: Hang on a tick, what is this "Global sea level has fluctuated widely in the recent geologic past. It stood 4-6 meters above the present during the last interglacial period, 125,000 years ago"?
Yet we are told that global temperatures are at a "record high". Hmm.  So back before man generated excess CO2 the climate was warm enough to melt 1.4 to 2.2 Trillion more Metric Tons of ice than is melted today? Really? And this in the "world class" experts' own published reports.

Another way to put it is: given the suspiciously precise current 'official' estimated 2.8mm of sea level rise per year, it would take between 1400 and 2100 years to equal the sea levels in the last interglacial - a span of time that separates us as far from that 'dystopian' future as Julius Caesar is from us. "Friends Romans, Countrymen, lend me your high tech windmills".

The second thing I learned is that according to best experts, the estimated peak prehistoric mean annual sea level rise rates at the end of the last glaciation were slower than the growth rates of many coral species. Meaning that even at rates over 5 times the current claimed "rapid" mean sea level rise, coral reefs could have "kept up" with rising seas. Which means there is no way that the many coral reef ringed islands are threatened with inundation.  Indeed Coral experts use the metaphor that Coral atolls "float" on the surface of the ocean.

But when there's so much money to be made by pretending they sink.....

Which means the Secretary General is an ignoramus who ruined his pants for no reason (bet you he didn't even take off his Manolo Blahniks - expense account dontchaknow). But you already knew that.

Oh one more detail: Coral reefs are made of Calcium Carbonate which is fabricated by the Coral organisms from calcium and CO2 in the ocean. The more CO2, the more island. Just like the more CO2, the more plant life. But don't worry about that, I'm sure all that extra flora that it supports is just terrible.

*Specifically the studies of the Tuvalu island groups showed that:
“Here we present the first comprehensive national-scale analysis of the transformation in physical land resources of the Pacific atoll nation Tuvalu, situated in the central western Pacific (Supplementary Note 1). Comprising 9 atolls and 101 individual reef islands, the nation is home to 10,600 people, 50% of whom are located on the urban island of Fogafale, in Funafuti atoll28. We specifically examine spatial differences in island behaviour, of all 101 islands in Tuvalu, over the past four decades (1971–2014), a period in which local sea level has risen at twice the global average (Supplementary Note 2).Surprisingly, we show that all islands have changed and that the dominant mode of change has been island expansion, which has increased the land area of the nation. Results are used to project future landform availability and consider opportunities for a vastly more nuanced and creative set of adaptation pathways for atoll nations.”


Thursday, June 20, 2019

The Great Civil Rights Flip Hoax

It has been taught (by strong implication) to our children as gospel that in 1964 the Dems and Rs flipped places with the Dems becoming pro civil rights and the Rs becoming racist bubba bait.

It is, of course, a lie. 

"Of the 21 Democratic senators who opposed the 1964 act, only one would ever change parties (Strom!). Nor did the segregationist constituencies that elected these Democrats throw them out in favor of Republicans: The remaining 20 continued to be elected as Democrats or were replaced by Democrats. It was, on average, nearly a quarter of a century before those seats went Republican. If southern rednecks ditched the Democrats because of a civil-rights law passed in 1964, it is strange that they waited until the late 1980s and early 1990s to do so. They say things move slower in the South — but not that slow"

A very good piece explaining how LBJ, one of the most power hungry men in the history of American politics, pivoted from crude racism to modern paternalism in the pursuit of the only thing he valued: Power. 

What is interesting in retrospect was how quickly the narrative flipped in the public schools. By 1977 when I took US history the notion that Dems were the party of civil rights was entrenched in all the best textbooks (I had a fetish about American history back then, I read several cover to cover. Well that, and Jakarta had no TV).

So much so that when my favorite high school teacher of all time, a retired Army master sergeant who was my American History teacher, taught a version of what turns out to be the truth at the end of the year, I sadly concluded that he must be a racist.

After all, I read the textbooks and they don't lie.

Tuesday, June 18, 2019

Here's what really happens when the State 'equalizes' outcomes.

The people with the money to access lawyers and regulatory experts make out like bandits. State complexity favors the rich. Which is why the rich and well educated support a complex, hyper regulatory state: it gives them a distinct competitive advantage and an iron rice bowl worth of career opportunities.  The Great SuperState:  Scam after scam after scam after scam....

Saturday, June 15, 2019

Thoughts on the occasion of a child's baptism.

Friends asked me to be Godfather to their first born. This is what I wrote to them:

When I went outside this morning  I saw a rainbow. It was complete, both ends touching the ground, with every color from violet to deepest red. I have never seen one as beautiful.

In biblical times this would have been interpreted as a sign of God's blessing.  But your son bears a much greater sign of God's favor than sunlight bent by rain: he has you.

Never forget that you are his first and most important blessing.
And never forget that it is his life. Help him by giving him the space to play and experiment and grow. Know that he is God's child and that he and his Lord will choose his path. Welcome this because it lifts an unbearable burden from you. You are not responsible for W's future - only his present. Love him, guide him, protect him.... less than you would like, but probably more than he needs. So he will grow up a strong and faithful man.

Thank you for honoring me with the opportunity to participate in his life

Who must the "Proles" cast off?

If there was hope, it must lie in the proles, because only there in those swarming disregarded masses, 85 per cent of the population of Oceania, could the force to destroy the Party ever be generated… But the proles, if only they could somehow become conscious of their own strength. would have no need to conspire. They needed only to rise up and shake themselves like a horse shaking off flies. If they chose they could blow the Party to pieces tomorrow morning. Surely sooner or later it must occur to them to do it? And yet—!’ George Orwell

Today it is argued by the chattering classes that Trump, Brexit, Victor Orban and the Alternative fur Deutschland are "Orwellian" which is rather Orwellian as it is the revolt of the proles against the modern rulers of continental scale entities resembling Eurasia and Oceania that fuels their rise.

It is the protean ability of intellectuals to define anything they dislike as evil and thought crime that is so....Orwellian.

Mick Hume on the Orwellian use of Orwellian by our Orwellian intelligentsia. Or as the Talking Heads would say (well sing): "Same as it ever was, same as it ever was...."

Wednesday, April 24, 2019

The Russians' not-so-secret plan to drive energy prices higher

One of the reasons I found the accusation that Trump was colluding with the Russians so ludicrous was because it is manifestly in Russia's interest that the US and Canada reduce their production of oil, gas and coal (and uranium, the Clintons remind me helpfully from their counting house "one hundred million and twenty dollars, one hundred million forty, one hundred mil...hey how much does Barack have now? Too much, count faster...") 

Russia has in fact given millions to anti fracking and anti pipeline groups in both countries. Who supported....BHO and HRC.

Who actively opposed coal production, new pipelines and exploration offshore and on federal lands. Not to mention their allies in CA and NY who have banned new production and new pipelines full stop in two of the most promising regions for oil and gas production in the world.

While Trump has loudly (does he do anything quietly?) supported expanding hydrocarbon production going so far as to challenge northeastern and CA pipeline bans  which have led to high prices and shortages of natural gas in those states. 

Me, I say let 'em freeze in the dark. It will be a salutary lesson in reality. A commodity Dems are sorely lacking. As evidenced by the hysteria over Trump "helping" the Russians by pursuing policies that have halved the price of the only thing they produce that's worth anything.

Yet the media present Dems as the foreign policy "realists". I do not believe that word means what they think it does.