Wednesday, January 21, 2015

Judith Curry Deconstructs the Presidents Climate Change Rhetoric

And finds it wanting:

I would like to address this statement made by the President:
Well, I’m not a scientist, either. But you know what — I know a lot of really good scientists at NASA, and NOAA, and at our major universities. The best scientists in the world are all telling us that our activities are changing the climate, and if we do not act forcefully, we’ll continue to see rising oceans, longer, hotter heat waves, dangerous droughts and floods, and massive disruptions that can trigger greater migration, conflict, and hunger around the globe. The Pentagon says that climate change poses immediate risks to our national security. We should act like it.
And also his tweet:
97% of climate scientists agree: Climate change is real. Denial from Congress is dangerous.
The problem is that President Obama is listening to scientists that are either playing politics with their expertise, or responding to a political mandate from the administration (probably a combination of both).   Not just administrators in govt labs (e.g. Schmidt, Karl), but think of the scientist networks of John Holdrenand John Podesta:  to me the scariest one one is Mann to Romm to Podesta.
So what is wrong with President Obama’s statements as cited above?
  • His statement about humans having exacerbated extreme weather events is not supported by the IPCC
  • The Pentagon is confusing climate change with extreme weather (see above)
  • ‘Climate change is real’ is almost a tautology; climate has always changed and always will, independently of anything humans do.
  • His tweet about ‘97%’ is based on an erroneous and discredited paper [link]
  • As for ‘Denial from Congress is dangerous’, I doubt that anyone in Congress denies that climate changes.  The issue of ‘dangerous’ is a hypothetical, and relates to values (not science).
And speaking of the ‘deniers’ in Congress, did anyone spot any errors in the actual  science from Senator Inhofe’s rebuttal?
And Judith Curry is not wild eyed anything.  She's a respected senior climate scientist at Georgia Tech who simply sits outside of the charmed IPCC/Administration political circle.  It is telling that it is so easy to critique orthodoxy.  That is a sign that it has hardened and is no longer adapating.  This will end badly for the Orthodox and maybe for the rest of us as well if they get their way.
God help us every one.


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