From Mike Barone:
Start with demographics. The Obama coalition, even more than Bill Clinton's, is based on overwhelming support from constituencies with some conflicting interests. It's a top-and-bottom coalition: he carried the very lowest and highest income and education groups, while his support sagged among those in the middle.
His strongest groups are blacks and gentry liberals -- the same two groups he gathered together when he got to design his own state Senate district in 2002. Majorities of both groups still support him, but perhaps with diminished enthusiasm. Black crowds unexpectedly started walking out before he finished talking at recent events in Prince George's County, Maryland, and Milwaukee.
Moreover, the geographic clustering of blacks and gentry liberals in central cities, sympathetic suburbs and university towns puts the Obama Democrats at a disadvantage in equal-population districts where Republican voters are spread more evenly around.
This makes no sense if the Dems are fighting for the little guy because in this coalition there is no doubt which group's voice us heard louder. Blacks don't have much money or newspaper articles to give. They're just election fodder
And so it's turned out that way: blacks and other poor and working class groups have strangled while the rich have flourished. And aside from blowing "get the rich" rhetoric out their backsides the Dems have no incentive for that to change.
So long as one side of their dumbbell remain dumbos, that is. Read the whole thing at the link.
Read more: http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2014/11/04/obama_will_leave_the_democrats_in_shambles_124554.html#ixzz3I72mw2Nn
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http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2014/11/04/obama_will_leave_the_democrats_in_shambles_124554.html
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