Friday, August 30, 2019

The dying liberal order

It's amazing that I don't even think that this is  abnormal any more. The amount of factually false statements that I see from so called "educated" friends on social media is frankly shocking. And they always cite a "news" story. I have well educated friends that have posted (in all seriousness) about the "imminent end of the world" (actual phrasing). We don't have an independent press or government anymore. Which makes it hard to have a "diverse liberal democracy".

Because if you can't trust the state or the news or educational institutions to play it fair, then you fall back on the old ways: clan and tribe.  "Blood of my blood". So much "diversity", so little honesty.

And those whose families have been obliterated by generations of social "innovation", welfare and taught helplessness are like abandoned children wandering in a war zone.

See to your neighborhood, your church (seriously, you should have one) and your kin because the broader institutions we have used to transcend them are rapidly bleeding out what's left of the trust they spent so many years accumulating.

And that's what I think about that.

Thursday, August 29, 2019

Is the flight to identity politics is driven by family collapse?

I think you'll find this interesting.  Not particularly partisan but very relevant.  The Church tries fitfully to be a family substitute for the increasingly atomized lower half of our society.  It's a poor substitute for kin. When I talk to homeless about their problems I always ask 'where are your kin?' because in the dark, evil past, that's where many of these people found help and shelter (and discipline).  Today we have 'experts' who focus on bits of people but take no ownership.

It's not a solution. It's just immense expense joined to immense misery. But the commercialization and professionalization of 'social services' that used to be performed by families is So. Damned. Profitable.

The technocracy is eating us alive and nobody knows how to stop it. You see it at its worst in our most 'hip' precincts. (To be clear: the piece isn't partisan. But I am).

Sunday, July 14, 2019

The savior of the world.

In an uncharacteristic lapse in judgement, a friend asked me to give the invocation (church talk for kickoff or warm up prayer) at church. This is what I said:

Dear lord thank you for this day.
Thank you for the sunshine
and the truth of your gospel.

Lord Jesus give us eyes to see,
ears to hear,
and the faith to know that you are the savior of the world.

Thursday, July 11, 2019

Is there an America if citizenship doesn't matter?

If citizenship means so little that the government doesn't even want to count how many of us there are - because they simply don't care - then is it really our government?

Or is the US government just another stationary bandit like Dubai? Delivering services in exchange for tribute? And if so, why should anyone pay income taxes...i.e. share the wealth with anyone else?

If the borders are open and the government is just a technocracy validated by people who show up at polls without ID or better yet fill out and mail in a form, then why share wealth with this ever shifting global craps game called America?

Governance becomes completely transactional....fee for service and if service gets bad.....

Nobody in their right mind would DIE for Dubai. Maybe since citizenship would be meaningless under CA style rule nobody should die for America.

Of course if citizenship increasingly means nothing then there really isn't an America is there?

In that world the universal longing for belonging would be filled by places like.....Texas or Minnesota who would strive mightily to sustain and bolster the critical sense of belonging that is required for people to be willing to sacrifice their wealth and lives.

Maybe that sense of belonging, that sense of responsibility and commitment is why the social breakdown we see in CA isn't spreading to TX or MN. Maybe we poo differently because our loyalties are different, more real.

The canary in the already collapsed California coal mine would be a second Texas Revolution: Flight from Sobbing Woke Pointlessness to True Meaning.

Because the true meaning of life is what we do, who we love and sacrifice for. Not how big a victim we are

Monday, June 24, 2019

Another example of climate change incoherence

Time Magazine recently put the current UN Secretary General on its cover promoting climate panic on the island nation of Tuvalu. So it MUST be true that these coral atoll nations are doomed. After  all why would such an august figure as the Lord High Secretary General "dip trou" if it were not?

But I also know that these coral atolls are made of, you know, coral and that coral are living things and they grow. So in theory as the water level rises, the coral grows and the islands remain above sea level. I also know that a recent survey of Tuvalu published in Nature Communications* has found that their islands are in fact growing, not shrinking. So what gives? Is the sea level rising faster than the coral can grow? Could it? Had it done so in the past when we had far more ice to melt and temperatures rose much faster coming out of the last glaciation event?

So I went to our best, official source of historical and prehistorical sea level data at NASA GISS and found the page on past sea level trends. And this is what its first, summary paragraph said:

Climate warming is expected to result in rising sea level. Should this occur, coastal cities, ports, and wetlands would be threatened with more frequent flooding, increased beach erosion, and saltwater encroachment into coastal streams and aquifers. Global sea level has fluctuated widely in the recent geologic past. It stood 4-6 meters above the present during the last interglacial period, 125,000 years ago, but was 120 m lower at the peak of the last ice age, around 20,000 years ago. A study of past sea level fluctuations provides a longer-term geologic context, which can help us better anticipate future trends.

So first: Hang on a tick, what is this "Global sea level has fluctuated widely in the recent geologic past. It stood 4-6 meters above the present during the last interglacial period, 125,000 years ago"?
Yet we are told that global temperatures are at a "record high". Hmm.  So back before man generated excess CO2 the climate was warm enough to melt 1.4 to 2.2 Trillion more Metric Tons of ice than is melted today? Really? And this in the "world class" experts' own published reports.

Another way to put it is: given the suspiciously precise current 'official' estimated 2.8mm of sea level rise per year, it would take between 1400 and 2100 years to equal the sea levels in the last interglacial - a span of time that separates us as far from that 'dystopian' future as Julius Caesar is from us. "Friends Romans, Countrymen, lend me your high tech windmills".

The second thing I learned is that according to best experts, the estimated peak prehistoric mean annual sea level rise rates at the end of the last glaciation were slower than the growth rates of many coral species. Meaning that even at rates over 5 times the current claimed "rapid" mean sea level rise, coral reefs could have "kept up" with rising seas. Which means there is no way that the many coral reef ringed islands are threatened with inundation.  Indeed Coral experts use the metaphor that Coral atolls "float" on the surface of the ocean.

But when there's so much money to be made by pretending they sink.....

Which means the Secretary General is an ignoramus who ruined his pants for no reason (bet you he didn't even take off his Manolo Blahniks - expense account dontchaknow). But you already knew that.

Oh one more detail: Coral reefs are made of Calcium Carbonate which is fabricated by the Coral organisms from calcium and CO2 in the ocean. The more CO2, the more island. Just like the more CO2, the more plant life. But don't worry about that, I'm sure all that extra flora that it supports is just terrible.

And one more thing: if brainless coral polyps can outfox rising sea levels it would seem reasonable that sentient humans wielding 21st century technology could do so too.

*Specifically the studies of the Tuvalu island groups showed that:
“Here we present the first comprehensive national-scale analysis of the transformation in physical land resources of the Pacific atoll nation Tuvalu, situated in the central western Pacific (Supplementary Note 1). Comprising 9 atolls and 101 individual reef islands, the nation is home to 10,600 people, 50% of whom are located on the urban island of Fogafale, in Funafuti atoll28. We specifically examine spatial differences in island behaviour, of all 101 islands in Tuvalu, over the past four decades (1971–2014), a period in which local sea level has risen at twice the global average (Supplementary Note 2).Surprisingly, we show that all islands have changed and that the dominant mode of change has been island expansion, which has increased the land area of the nation. Results are used to project future landform availability and consider opportunities for a vastly more nuanced and creative set of adaptation pathways for atoll nations.”

*clip_image008

Thursday, June 20, 2019

The Great Civil Rights Flip Hoax

It has been taught (by strong implication) to our children as gospel that in 1964 the Dems and Rs flipped places with the Dems becoming pro civil rights and the Rs becoming racist bubba bait.

It is, of course, a lie. 

"Of the 21 Democratic senators who opposed the 1964 act, only one would ever change parties (Strom!). Nor did the segregationist constituencies that elected these Democrats throw them out in favor of Republicans: The remaining 20 continued to be elected as Democrats or were replaced by Democrats. It was, on average, nearly a quarter of a century before those seats went Republican. If southern rednecks ditched the Democrats because of a civil-rights law passed in 1964, it is strange that they waited until the late 1980s and early 1990s to do so. They say things move slower in the South — but not that slow"

A very good piece explaining how LBJ, one of the most power hungry men in the history of American politics, pivoted from crude racism to modern paternalism in the pursuit of the only thing he valued: Power. 

What is interesting in retrospect was how quickly the narrative flipped in the public schools. By 1977 when I took US history the notion that Dems were the party of civil rights was entrenched in all the best textbooks (I had a fetish about American history back then, I read several cover to cover. Well that, and Jakarta had no TV).

So much so that when my favorite high school teacher of all time, a retired Army master sergeant who was my American History teacher, taught a version of what turns out to be the truth at the end of the year, I sadly concluded that he must be a racist.

After all, I read the textbooks and they don't lie.

https://www.nationalreview.com/2012/05/party-civil-rights-kevin-d-williamson/

Tuesday, June 18, 2019

Here's what really happens when the State 'equalizes' outcomes.

The people with the money to access lawyers and regulatory experts make out like bandits. State complexity favors the rich. Which is why the rich and well educated support a complex, hyper regulatory state: it gives them a distinct competitive advantage and an iron rice bowl worth of career opportunities.  The Great SuperState:  Scam after scam after scam after scam....


Saturday, June 15, 2019

Thoughts on the occasion of a child's baptism.

Friends asked me to be Godfather to their first born. This is what I wrote to them:

When I went outside this morning  I saw a rainbow. It was complete, both ends touching the ground, with every color from violet to deepest red. I have never seen one as beautiful.

In biblical times this would have been interpreted as a sign of God's blessing.  But your son bears a much greater sign of God's favor than sunlight bent by rain: he has you.

Never forget that you are his first and most important blessing.
And never forget that it is his life. Help him by giving him the space to play and experiment and grow. Know that he is God's child and that he and his Lord will choose his path. Welcome this because it lifts an unbearable burden from you. You are not responsible for W's future - only his present. Love him, guide him, protect him.... less than you would like, but probably more than he needs. So he will grow up a strong and faithful man.

Thank you for honoring me with the opportunity to participate in his life

Who must the "Proles" cast off?

If there was hope, it must lie in the proles, because only there in those swarming disregarded masses, 85 per cent of the population of Oceania, could the force to destroy the Party ever be generated… But the proles, if only they could somehow become conscious of their own strength. would have no need to conspire. They needed only to rise up and shake themselves like a horse shaking off flies. If they chose they could blow the Party to pieces tomorrow morning. Surely sooner or later it must occur to them to do it? And yet—!’ George Orwell

Today it is argued by the chattering classes that Trump, Brexit, Victor Orban and the Alternative fur Deutschland are "Orwellian" which is rather Orwellian as it is the revolt of the proles against the modern rulers of continental scale entities resembling Eurasia and Oceania that fuels their rise.

It is the protean ability of intellectuals to define anything they dislike as evil and thought crime that is so....Orwellian.

Mick Hume on the Orwellian use of Orwellian by our Orwellian intelligentsia. Or as the Talking Heads would say (well sing): "Same as it ever was, same as it ever was...."

Wednesday, April 24, 2019

The Russians' not-so-secret plan to drive energy prices higher

One of the reasons I found the accusation that Trump was colluding with the Russians so ludicrous was because it is manifestly in Russia's interest that the US and Canada reduce their production of oil, gas and coal (and uranium, the Clintons remind me helpfully from their counting house "one hundred million and twenty dollars, one hundred million forty, one hundred mil...hey how much does Barack have now? Too much, count faster...") 

Russia has in fact given millions to anti fracking and anti pipeline groups in both countries. Who supported....BHO and HRC.

Who actively opposed coal production, new pipelines and exploration offshore and on federal lands. Not to mention their allies in CA and NY who have banned new production and new pipelines full stop in two of the most promising regions for oil and gas production in the world.

While Trump has loudly (does he do anything quietly?) supported expanding hydrocarbon production going so far as to challenge northeastern and CA pipeline bans  which have led to high prices and shortages of natural gas in those states. 

Me, I say let 'em freeze in the dark. It will be a salutary lesson in reality. A commodity Dems are sorely lacking. As evidenced by the hysteria over Trump "helping" the Russians by pursuing policies that have halved the price of the only thing they produce that's worth anything.

Yet the media present Dems as the foreign policy "realists". I do not believe that word means what they think it does.

http://www.newgeography.com/content/006270-russia-s-not-so-secret-plan-to-control-the-world-s-energy

Sunday, April 21, 2019

Is the Dental Cartel taking us to the (teeth) cleaners?

Looks like it. More half dressed emperors. "Trust us, we're the cartel".


https://marginalrevolution.com/marginalrevolution/2019/04/evidence-based-dentistry.html

Saturday, April 20, 2019

Empty Suit

....nice shoes, though. H/T Instapundit

CNN: Mueller’s report looks bad for Obama.“The partisan warfare over the Mueller report will rage, but one thing cannot be denied: Former President Barack Obama looks just plain bad. On his watch, the Russians meddled in our democracy while his administration did nothing about it.”

But to be fair, he did mock Mitt Romney for worrying about the Russians.

If you think Trump is bad....

Trump is a product of half the country throwing up their hands in frustration to the inert, corrupt, self validating Federal technocracy. The superstate responded by using their power illegally to first smear his campaign and then attempt a soft coup.

But Bernie Sanders was the first to be screwed by this anti MAGA megastate: BHO allowed the Clintons to buy the DNC and install their own loyalists at the top, turning the Dem primaries into a travesty. For a time Bernie's team couldn't even get access to the DNC's polling data that was suppose to be available to all candidates.

And now Bernie's back and the central state, badly wounded by its coup failure is bleeding credibility while its boosters desperately try to change the subject back to "orange man bad", shrieking for "impeachment".

This piece argues that what happened to Rs last time could happen to Ds this time.

So when it does will all of the corporatist boosters of the superstate suddenly become strict Federalists?  Or do they cut a deal with Bernie? An erstwhile ally of.....the Russians? 


I'd like to believe there's just some things they won't do but I never believed they'd go this far. Power is so corrupting.


Friday, February 22, 2019

Interesting information about the 1918 pandemic and recent US flu deaths

We're still waiting for the next "Big One".

https://wattsupwiththat.com/2019/02/22/100-years-later-the-flu/

The Federal state's attempted putsch....

.......by pushing large numbers of people like me off the fence, makes Trump's reelection far more likely.

Absent this travesty, Trump's crude behavior would be the story among swings like me. But nothing Trump has done or conceivably will do can match the Secret Police and Ministry of "Justice's" partisan abuse of their power.

Of course all of this simply accelerates the slide to elective monarchy. But Dems don't care about that, they openly long for another FDR and New Deal, when the President was all but unassailable and much of the independent (of Congress) administrative state was set up.

Of course FDR explicitly said that he was simply following Wilson's "war socialism" with its political prisoners and lynchings of "enemies".  But we were fortunate that Wilson's brutal, racist centralism was followed by true liberals Harding and Coolidge who dismantled the regime. 

Sadly, there are no true liberals today. Just different flavors of authoritarian centralist thugs who will make us be "good".

Even the worshipful biographer of FDR.....in the NY Sun is saying so! And he's a Canadian!

https://www.nysun.com/national/real-scandal-of-trump-term-starts-to-unravel/90585/

Friday, December 21, 2018

Hammock Dream

In a hammock side by side,
Head to toe, toe to head
Watching you watching me.
Speaking of you, me, us.

Touching your foot, ankle, calf.
The soft, sheathed strength beneath my hand.
You ask a question. I smile: "no".
It doesn't matter where we go.

Sunday, September 02, 2018

On Art

Written to an artist friend.

Any creative person confronts the need to balance the muse inside with what other human beings need and value. Both the creator and the consumers of the created are free to do as they please. At some level a 'creation' only becomes 'art' or 'literature' or even a 'product' if a another human being values it enough to consume or collect it. Sometimes this transaction occurs easily and immediately resulting in fame and fortune, sometimes it occurs sequentially and fame arrives later, even posthumously. For most writers, artists and creative entrepreneurs it does not come at all. That is the burden of freedom. The right to do what you will encompasses the right to do that which no one else  understands or values. And the right to keep doing it even if it never pays off. That's why artists have muses and not investment managers in their souls. Freedom is a two edged sword, red with the the blood of its adherents.

Saturday, July 21, 2018

The Democrat's biggest problem

Throughout my life the left has dominated comedy: they defined what was mock-able, what was funny. It's helped Dems sweeten their increasingly authoritarian "eat your peas" agenda so voters will swallow it.

But now the Great God Identity deems most humor to be blasphemous. And without it what is left of the left is mostly  stridency and hectoring.

It's not a good look. 

Did SNL really do a funereal lament for HRC's defeat? What a....non joke.

Republicans have become the insurgents the anti-establishment

https://ricochet.com/535983/the-left-gives-up-on-comedy/

Monday, July 16, 2018

The Cultural Marxism underlying the NYT's latest Trump Critique

Read this NYT editorial. In particular note the following sentence:

"Just a few hours after President Trump doused expectations of extracting any confession from President Vladimir V. Putin on Russia’s election meddling when they meet on Monday"

​I imagine a meeting of the "Hard Ones Club": Stalin, DeGaulle, Churchill, Golda Meir and so on. The NYT Editor in chief is there and he says the above. They start snickering, then giggling, then guffawing, they bend over, put their hands on their knees trying to catch their breath, the tears streaming down their face. Harold MacMillan catches his momentarily and says "but my dear boy, stealing each others secrets and meddling in their affairs is what nations do".

Then the sweet 27 year old naif who 'literally knows nothing' continues:

"his own Justice Department issued a sweeping indictment of 12 Russian intelligence agents for hacking the Democratic National Committee and the Clinton presidential campaign." to renewed peals of laughter and "please, please stop, you're killing us boy!".

Stalin wipes the drool from his mouth and says "Imagine that! Indicting your enemies, Rooshvelt!: you should have sued Tojo for all he's worth! FDR shoots back "Yeah and old Adolph would have been a nightmare of a deposition, har, har!". 

It is really hard to take seriously anyone who thinks like this.  In the real world one expects one's adversaries to do what they can to discover your secrets and discomfit you short of a shooting war. It is the responsibility of the 'adults' to take precautions to ensure that that result is minimized. Something that the DNC, John Podesta, Hillary Clinton and BHO did not do. Adults when confronted with the Russian actions would have never admitted them....running around squealing 'we got an owie from that mean man!". They would have worked on countermeasures and payback.

But there's more to this than simply a childish response to serious nation state contention. The whole "Trump colluded" imbroglio is fundamentally a post modern event.  Think about what's going on in our Universities: it has been a long time since there has been any meaningful amount of traditional racism, misogyny or homophobia yet the obsession over such has never been more hysterical. Of course there's lots of racism and female and gay hatred on these campuses but it's done by people who are considered victims so it can't be anything evil. Which is so very post modern. Recall that Foucault and the other postmodern literary theorists asserted (and have been swallowed hook, line and sinker by Academe) that the meaning of texts (words to you and me) is defined by the audience, not the writer/speaker. I used to get so upset about this because it was used to pervert the messages that great authors had sent us but I wasn't thinking nearly big enough.

You see the Foucaultian revolution in language and thought means that crimes are only crimes if I - meaning the established power base - conclude they are. It's the foundation of the Critical Legal Theory school of law so heralded by Harvard. Harvard said: isn't it outrageous that the powerful define what is evil and illegal and with crocodile tears their administration and the  minions of the State said "oh yes, so sad".

Which is how you can get Halloween costumes mocking hillbillies while banning sombreros. You see one is a funny critique and the other a moral crime.

And I think it is this Foucaultian revolution or more accurately inversion that has bubbled up into the ranks of the Times and the elite of your Party. The inversion of words and deeds. In a world where there is little or no physical conflict among the privileged, words become more real than deeds. The fact that BHO and the Dems negligently allowed the hacking is less significant than the words that Trump uses to denounce what after all is the nation state norm.

I'm sure you've seen the black clad Antifa protesters doing their thing. What strikes me about them is how many women are in their ranks. Because in any real violent confrontation blows that would level a man will maim or even kill a woman. Yet they pretend that there is no difference. I was at a French Caribbean bar called "Under the Volcano" for Bastille day. I was with - among others - a young Nigerian Data Scientist from Church, she was describing to me how she was taking Karate and how her Sensei was emphasizing that violence was to be used as a 'last resort'. 

I'm afraid I'd had a couple drinks so I was a little blunt. I said: "But you're a woman, your upbringing and biology lead you to always treat violence as a last resort, indeed your normal response to violence should be to flee it. Your challenge isn't restraining your violent impulses or some lack of technique, it's the difficulty (absent having a child to protect) you have in generating a violent response when that's what's needed. You have no experience with violent confrontation. By contrast I grew up in a world where violent confrontation between boys was common: I haven't fought since I hit my mid teens but I know what I would do and know that I can do it if I were put in a situation needing it. Frankly no matter how much training you have in Karate, my real experience, social and biological predisposition and superior muscle mass and density would almost guarantee me a first punch victory."

Yet she is constantly told that she doesn't need to even consider men as she goes about her life, that she can go where she likes, dressed as she likes and if any man takes advantage of that it's wholly his fault. There is a great old Bachrach piece called 'Wives and Lovers" it's a man giving advice to a young wife that she needs to try to keep the attentions of her Husband because 'men will be men'. We used to have an entire infrastructure to restrain 'men being men' it was imperfect and in some ways oppressive to women but it recognized the fundamental biological reality. Today we've swept all of that away and in it's place we have college seminars to fight "Toxic Masculinity" as if biology can be rectified by lecture.

But that's what so much of what passes for social discourse has become. It's cultural Marxism. Recall traditional Marxism: it attempted to reorder economic relations to fix socialist theory resulting in immense chaos, waste and poverty, not to mention mass murder. So we've jettisoned it. In its place we have cultural Marxism which has its own religious set of beliefs such as Men and Women are equal unless in our Postmodernism it benefits women to be different.

I interpret this Cultural Marxist academic world to be a place where the real risks and contention in biological and geopolitical world are superseded by the local battle for political power.  And as I've feared, the triviality of academic political discourse has seeped into our 'End of History' geopolitics. The piece you sent me was a Cultural Marxist masterpiece:  the enemy in the Editors of the NYT's mind is not and never has been Putin or Russia - for if it was they would have vigorously criticized BHO's supine response (indeed his open mic grovelling to Putin's lackey) to Russian aggression. But they did not - they've spent 18 months screaming "we've got an owie! and it's that bad man Trump's fault".

Nor did they hold BHO and co accountable for allowing the 'hacking'****. Their goal isn't protecting the nation from Putin, it's deposing the current occupant of the Eagle throne. This assumption that there is no world out there worth worrying about and that all the real action is in Washington is very late Roman Empire. Because of course it was all of the chaos and damage from battle after battle for control of the center that progressively destroyed the Empire's ability to fight off mass incursions into its domains. Eventually the incursions became migrations and were so great that the migrant groups became active participants in the dynastic contention. At that point, stripped of it's economic and military dominance and having no cultural coherence, the Western Empire fell.

History doesn't repeat itself but today's news sounds a whole lot like that Roman Funeral Orchestra tuning up.

May God have mercy on the United States of America.

And that's what I think about that.

****And How in Hell can the FBI know there was Russian  hacking of mail servers that it never examined? Because the Dems never let the Feds have them to examine in first place. The Feds never charged anyone with obstructing justice for destroying Hillary's campaign or the DNC's servers. Destroyed them while loudly claiming that partisan crimes had been committed on them. 

The Federal state's lifeblood is credibility. It is bleeding out rapidly. Perhaps this is Jeff Sessions and Robert Mueller's goal: pretend to be saving the beast while surreptitiously opening more veins.

Monday, June 18, 2018

Sad to see Mike Hayden humiliate himself.

Someone who lives him should intervene.

https://www.nationalreview.com/corner/michael-hayden-one-of-these-things-is-not-like-the-other/